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Red26
199412.1
241025.6
514114.8
Blue20
944519.3
665211.4
256016.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524002060801001202620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
3Total teleop9
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
12Foul points0
26Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2410
#30
25.63.5
20.817.3
Auto5.4
Teleop18.2
End2.0
red by 6.3
9445
#22
19.31.8
14.512.6
Auto2.2
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Second
5141
#14
14.82.1
13.311.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 1.6
2560
#27
16.41.8
15.313.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Third
1994
#26
12.13.5
11.27.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
red by 0.7
6652
#24
11.41.2
6.65.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed