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Red64
1068216.1
75726.7
509824.0
Blue113
200114.4
182537.1
742142.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5788010015020064113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+49
Endgame+37
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +30
3Leave0
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points33
3Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +19
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
39Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
6Foul points18
64Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
757
#9
26.70.1
17.617.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
blue by 16.0
42.71.6
31.132.8
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
Second
5098
#15
24.00.1
20.220.1
Auto3.4
Teleop17.5
End3.1
blue by 13.1
37.12.2
31.633.9
Auto10.0
Teleop25.6
End1.6
Third
16.10.1
15.315.2
Auto1.3
Teleop12.3
End2.5
red by 1.7
2001
#28
14.42.2
12.214.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed