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Red158
931622.2
173057.3
526831.8
Blue140
110851.8
198655.6
182714.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78106050150200158140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points37
23Total auto37
Teleoperatedlevel
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
89Total teleop89
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#7
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
30Foul points0
158Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.36.2
40.146.3
Auto15.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
red by 1.8
55.65.3
35.540.8
Auto13.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
Second
31.86.2
19.425.7
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End4.1
blue by 20.0
51.83.2
41.044.2
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End6.3
Third
9316
#29
22.23.7
12.416.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End1.2
red by 7.3
1827
#32
14.95.3
15.621.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned