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Red21
182714.9
514114.8
684313.8
Blue36
1068216.1
944519.3
241025.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54480204060801002136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +14
2Coral scored#4
6Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
6Total teleop20
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points4
21Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1827
#32
14.93.2
21.017.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
blue by 10.7
2410
#30
25.61.5
17.315.9
Auto5.4
Teleop18.2
End2.0
Second
5141
#14
14.81.9
11.39.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 4.6
9445
#22
19.31.5
12.611.2
Auto2.2
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Third
6843
#12
13.83.2
17.614.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4
blue by 2.3
16.11.5
15.213.7
Auto1.3
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed