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Red75
955127.5
480920.0
245727.9
Blue79
199412.1
742142.7
75726.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636540506070807579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+10Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#7
46Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
60Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
2Foul points6
75Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2457
#11
27.91.7
20.622.3
Auto5.1
Teleop21.9
End0.8
blue by 14.8
42.70.7
32.833.4
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
Second
9551
#23
27.51.7
22.223.8
Auto4.6
Teleop22.5
End0.5
red by 0.8
757
#9
26.71.0
17.418.5
Auto3.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
Third
4809
#21
20.01.7
12.013.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.5
red by 7.9
1994
#26
12.11.0
7.78.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned