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Red51
75726.7
684313.8
200114.4
Blue144
173057.3
184741.2
181033.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45108015020051144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+99
Endgame+91
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +88
6Coral scored#24
21Coral points85
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
25Total teleop113
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#12
1L2#7
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#35
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points2
51Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
757
#9
26.70.3
18.518.7
Auto3.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
blue by 30.6
57.35.4
47.552.8
Auto15.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
Second
2001
#28
14.40.3
15.615.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.2
blue by 26.9
41.25.4
23.528.9
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End3.6
Third
6843
#12
13.80.3
14.414.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4
blue by 19.5
1810
#13
33.33.2
22.525.7
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed