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Red41
199412.1
480920.0
Blue33
518917.0
955127.5
182714.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4064020801001201404133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +8
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
29Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
41Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4809
#21
20.00.6
13.713.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.5
blue by 7.5
9551
#23
27.53.7
23.820.2
Auto4.6
Teleop22.5
End0.5
Second
1994
#26
12.10.6
8.78.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 4.9
5189
#25
17.03.7
14.010.3
Auto1.2
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Third
9.60.6
15.915.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 5.3
1827
#32
14.93.7
17.814.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed