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Red41
480920.0
518917.0
944519.3
Blue38
495919.5
93713.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4263020801004138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+23Teleop
+21Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
5Coral scored#2
19Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
33Total teleop10
Reef
2L4#0
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points18
41Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4809
#21
20.00.0
13.113.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.5
red by 0.5
19.53.9
23.319.4
Auto3.3
Teleop13.5
End2.7
Second
9445
#22
19.30.0
14.614.6
Auto2.2
Teleop11.4
End5.7
red by 6.1
937
#33
13.23.9
13.99.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Third
5189
#25
17.00.0
10.310.4
Auto1.2
Teleop12.5
End3.3
red by 7.4
9.63.9
15.311.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned