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Red60
182714.9
181033.3
199412.1
Blue68
1068216.1
184741.2
514114.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50612040801006068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
9Coral scored#10
33Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
43Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
60Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#13
33.30.8
25.726.5
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.6
blue by 7.9
41.21.5
28.930.4
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End3.6
Second
1827
#32
14.91.3
14.115.4
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
blue by 1.3
16.11.5
13.815.4
Auto1.3
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Third
1994
#26
12.11.3
8.19.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 2.6
5141
#14
14.80.9
11.412.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed