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Red91
245727.9
176430.3
182537.1
Blue79
198655.6
526831.8
200114.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92874060801001201409179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+14Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
63Total teleop66
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#2
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
91Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.9
35.736.6
Auto10.0
Teleop25.6
End1.6
blue by 18.4
55.60.2
38.438.2
Auto13.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
Second
1764
#20
30.30.9
25.025.9
Auto6.6
Teleop23.0
End0.7
blue by 1.6
31.80.2
26.426.2
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End4.1
Third
2457
#11
27.90.9
22.423.3
Auto5.1
Teleop21.9
End0.8
red by 13.5
2001
#28
14.40.2
15.915.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed