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Red63
511916.1
172329.7
241025.6
Blue116
501325.7
173057.3
509824.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48118010015020063116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
50Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points18
63Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#10
29.70.8
18.018.8
Auto2.2
Teleop23.4
End4.2
blue by 27.6
57.30.2
52.852.7
Auto15.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
Second
2410
#30
25.61.4
16.517.9
Auto5.4
Teleop18.2
End2.0
blue by 0.1
5013
#16
25.70.2
31.131.0
Auto5.4
Teleop18.6
End1.7
Third
5119
#34
16.11.4
16.217.6
Auto2.7
Teleop10.1
End3.3
blue by 7.9
5098
#15
24.00.2
15.815.6
Auto3.4
Teleop17.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned