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Red68
110851.8
234512.5
445512.8
Blue88
176918.7
75726.7
665211.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions924401001506888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
10Coral scored#14
36Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
46Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points2
68Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.82.3
46.043.7
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End6.3
red by 25.1
757
#9
26.72.3
18.721.1
Auto3.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
Second
4455
#18
12.83.9
13.49.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9
blue by 6.0
1769
#17
18.72.3
18.721.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Third
2345
#35
12.53.9
17.813.9
Auto2.7
Teleop9.8
End-0.0
red by 1.1
6652
#24
11.41.4
6.37.7
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned