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Red75
256016.4
684313.8
181033.3
Blue55
93531.2
1068216.1
518917.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655601001502002507555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+18Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
2Coral scored#0
11Coral points0
20Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +1
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points34
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
47Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
75Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#13
33.30.7
26.527.2
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.6
red by 2.2
935
#19
31.20.4
26.126.5
Auto4.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Second
2560
#27
16.41.1
15.917.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
blue by 0.6
5189
#25
17.00.4
10.410.7
Auto1.2
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Third
6843
#12
13.81.1
16.617.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4
blue by 2.3
16.10.4
15.415.7
Auto1.3
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed