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Red79
234512.5
184741.2
684313.8
Blue10
445512.8
199412.1
518917.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64572040801007910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+49Teleop
+51Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +39
7Coral scored#0
25Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
39Total teleop0
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
18Foul points0
79Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.6
19.620.1
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End3.6
red by 24.2
5189
#25
17.04.5
17.112.5
Auto1.2
Teleop12.5
End3.3
Second
6843
#12
13.80.6
16.116.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4
red by 1.0
4455
#18
12.84.5
18.113.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9
Third
2345
#35
12.50.6
20.220.8
Auto2.7
Teleop9.8
End-0.0
red by 0.4
1994
#26
12.14.5
15.711.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed