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Red43
181033.3
665211.4
509824.0
Blue48
944519.3
182714.9
501325.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627801001502002504348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
6Coral scored#8
22Coral points30
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
30Total teleop34
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
43Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#13
33.31.1
26.024.8
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.6
red by 7.6
5013
#16
25.72.4
31.929.5
Auto5.4
Teleop18.6
End1.7
Second
5098
#15
24.01.7
21.920.2
Auto3.4
Teleop17.5
End3.1
red by 4.7
9445
#22
19.32.4
16.914.5
Auto2.2
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Third
6652
#24
11.41.3
7.96.6
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
blue by 3.4
1827
#32
14.92.4
18.115.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed