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Qual 352025 Heartland Regional
Red37
176918.7
234512.5
495919.5
Blue68
526831.8
665211.4
184741.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627620401001203768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+35
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +32
5Coral scored#13
17Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
25Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
37Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4959
#8
19.52.3
19.4→17.1
Auto3.3
Teleop13.5
End2.7
blue by 21.7
1847
#5
41.20.1
30.4→30.6
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End3.6
Second
1769
#17
18.72.3
21.0→18.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End3.4
blue by 13.1
5268
#7
31.80.1
26.2→26.3
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End4.1
Third
2345
#35
12.52.3
13.9→11.7
Auto2.7
Teleop9.8
End-0.0
red by 1.1
6652
#24
11.40.1
7.7→7.7
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed