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Red140
75726.7
241025.6
110851.8
Blue66
480920.0
172329.7
514114.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10146015014066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+56Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
20Coral scored#11
71Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
93Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#4
8L3#3
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#13
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
140Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.83.3
43.747.0
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End6.3
red by 22.1
1723
#10
29.70.9
18.819.7
Auto2.2
Teleop23.4
End4.2
Second
757
#9
26.75.5
21.126.5
Auto3.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
red by 6.7
4809
#21
20.01.5
13.114.6
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.5
Third
2410
#30
25.65.5
17.923.3
Auto5.4
Teleop18.2
End2.0
red by 10.8
5141
#14
14.80.9
12.313.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed