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Red87
181033.3
93531.2
245727.9
Blue58
241025.6
182714.9
480920.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885502040801001201401608758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+29Teleop
+33Endgame
+29Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
17Coral scored#8
60Coral points27
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
0Processor points12
12Net points4
12Algae points16
72Total teleop43
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#2
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#11
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
2Foul points6
87Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#13
33.30.4
27.227.6
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.6
red by 7.7
2410
#30
25.60.2
23.323.1
Auto5.4
Teleop18.2
End2.0
Second
935
#19
31.20.6
26.527.1
Auto4.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
red by 11.2
4809
#21
20.00.2
14.614.4
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.5
Third
2457
#11
27.90.6
25.726.3
Auto5.1
Teleop21.9
End0.8
red by 13.0
1827
#32
14.90.2
16.316.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed