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Red92
110851.8
526831.8
Blue21
684313.8
199412.1
665211.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103370501502009221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+65Teleop
+65Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
11Coral scored#2
38Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
62Total teleop8
Reef
5L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
6Foul points0
92Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.80.4
47.046.6
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End6.3
red by 38.0
6843
#12
13.82.4
17.715.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4
Second
31.80.6
26.325.7
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End4.1
red by 19.7
1994
#26
12.12.4
11.89.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Third
9.60.6
12.211.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 1.8
6652
#24
11.41.4
7.76.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed