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Red61
93713.2
955127.5
199412.1
Blue151
944519.3
172329.7
176430.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517302040608010012014061151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+90
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#16
40Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
50Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#7
5L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +90
0Foul points56
61Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9551
#23
27.50.5
24.324.8
Auto4.6
Teleop22.5
End0.5
blue by 2.7
1764
#20
30.32.4
26.028.4
Auto6.6
Teleop23.0
End0.7
Second
937
#33
13.20.5
11.111.6
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.8
blue by 16.5
1723
#10
29.71.5
21.222.7
Auto2.2
Teleop23.4
End4.2
Third
1994
#26
12.10.5
9.49.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 7.2
9445
#22
19.32.4
13.515.9
Auto2.2
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsEarned