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Red58
445512.8
1068216.1
Blue92
526831.8
509824.0
234512.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426702060801001201405892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
45Total teleop63
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points18
58Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.11.4
15.316.7
Auto1.3
Teleop12.3
End2.5
blue by 15.7
31.81.4
25.727.1
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End4.1
Second
4455
#18
12.81.4
11.212.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9
blue by 11.3
5098
#15
24.01.4
20.121.5
Auto3.4
Teleop17.5
End3.1
Third
9.61.4
11.613.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 2.9
2345
#35
12.51.4
9.410.8
Auto2.7
Teleop9.8
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed