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Red103
742142.7
181033.3
495919.5
Blue143
684313.8
198655.6
173057.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8612350100150103143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+28
Endgame+38
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave0
5Coral scored#9
23Coral points47
23Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#11
32Coral points38
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
66Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#3
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points2
103Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.71.2
40.741.9
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
blue by 14.7
57.32.9
51.354.3
Auto15.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
Second
1810
#13
33.31.2
29.430.5
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.6
blue by 22.2
55.62.9
44.947.9
Auto13.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
Third
19.51.7
15.317.0
Auto3.3
Teleop13.5
End2.7
red by 5.7
6843
#12
13.82.9
14.317.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned