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Red63
955127.5
234512.5
931622.2
Blue72
509824.0
514114.8
245727.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6477020401001201401606372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
50Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points6
63Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9551
#23
27.50.2
24.824.7
Auto4.6
Teleop22.5
End0.5
blue by 0.3
2457
#11
27.90.9
31.030.2
Auto5.1
Teleop21.9
End0.8
Second
9316
#29
22.20.1
20.120.0
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End1.2
blue by 1.9
5098
#15
24.00.9
21.520.7
Auto3.4
Teleop17.5
End3.1
Third
2345
#35
12.50.2
10.810.7
Auto2.7
Teleop9.8
End-0.0
blue by 2.3
5141
#14
14.80.6
14.513.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed