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Red29
480920.0
200114.4
256016.4
Blue74
514114.8
742142.7
93713.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63662040801001202974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+47
Endgame+59
Fouls+45
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +47
1Coral scored#9
4Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
4Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
14Foul points0
29Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4809
#21
20.04.6
19.715.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.5
blue by 22.7
42.71.4
29.731.1
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
Second
2560
#27
16.44.6
20.015.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
red by 1.6
5141
#14
14.81.2
12.213.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.6
Third
2001
#28
14.44.6
16.812.2
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.2
red by 1.2
937
#33
13.21.7
16.518.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsEarned