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Red22
445512.8
93713.2
200114.4
Blue64
480920.0
176918.7
684313.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45540204060801002264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+42
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +42
1Coral scored#8
4Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
4Total teleop46
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
22Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2001
#28
14.41.7
16.114.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.2
blue by 5.6
4809
#21
20.01.4
16.417.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.6
End1.5
Second
937
#33
13.21.7
14.112.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.8
blue by 5.5
1769
#17
18.71.4
16.017.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Third
4455
#18
12.81.7
12.210.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9
blue by 1.0
6843
#12
13.81.4
14.315.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed