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Red86
742142.7
245727.9
182714.9
Blue95
1068216.1
495919.5
110851.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8810160801201408695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
13Coral scored#18
46Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
66Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#9
6L3#7
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points2
86Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.2
40.941.1
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
blue by 9.1
51.80.1
51.451.5
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End6.3
Second
2457
#11
27.90.3
27.327.6
Auto5.1
Teleop21.9
End0.8
red by 8.3
19.50.1
19.519.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.5
End2.7
Third
1827
#32
14.90.3
11.812.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
blue by 1.3
16.10.1
18.218.2
Auto1.3
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed