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Red69
514114.8
176430.3
665211.4
Blue119
93531.2
173057.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56105020408012014016069119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+42
Endgame+54
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
6Processor points6
8Net points24
14Algae points30
45Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
15Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
4Foul points0
69Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#20
30.30.6
29.930.5
Auto6.6
Teleop23.0
End0.7
blue by 27.1
57.31.9
55.157.0
Auto15.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
Second
5141
#14
14.80.5
14.515.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 16.4
935
#19
31.21.9
27.028.9
Auto4.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Third
6652
#24
11.40.5
8.48.9
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
red by 1.8
9.61.9
8.09.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned