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Red138
198655.6
518917.0
241025.6
Blue91
256016.4
509824.0
955127.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966205015020013891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+35Teleop
+51Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points52
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
97Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#6
3L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#20
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
2Foul points6
138Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.63.0
50.553.5
Auto13.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
red by 28.0
9551
#23
27.51.0
25.226.2
Auto4.6
Teleop22.5
End0.5
Second
2410
#30
25.63.0
22.625.6
Auto5.4
Teleop18.2
End2.0
red by 1.6
5098
#15
24.01.0
21.922.9
Auto3.4
Teleop17.5
End3.1
Third
5189
#25
17.03.0
14.317.3
Auto1.2
Teleop12.5
End3.3
red by 0.6
2560
#27
16.41.0
15.716.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed