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Red109
173057.3
93713.2
75726.7
Blue71
501325.7
245727.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116405010015010971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points31
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
72Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
109Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.8
57.057.8
Auto15.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
red by 29.5
2457
#11
27.90.1
27.627.7
Auto5.1
Teleop21.9
End0.8
Second
757
#9
26.70.8
26.126.9
Auto3.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
red by 1.0
5013
#16
25.70.1
26.226.3
Auto5.4
Teleop18.6
End1.7
Third
937
#33
13.20.8
12.513.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End1.8
red by 3.6
9.60.1
9.910.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed