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Red88
514114.8
181033.3
518917.0
Blue107
955127.5
526831.8
511916.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708020406010012014088107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+23
Endgame+25
Fouls+19
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
12Coral scored#16
44Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
62Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
6Foul points0
88Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#13
33.30.2
33.433.2
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.6
red by 1.5
31.81.2
30.431.6
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End4.1
Second
5189
#25
17.00.3
17.317.0
Auto1.2
Teleop12.5
End3.3
blue by 10.5
9551
#23
27.51.2
26.227.4
Auto4.6
Teleop22.5
End0.5
Third
5141
#14
14.80.2
15.014.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.5
End1.6
blue by 1.3
5119
#34
16.11.2
14.916.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed