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Red167
93531.2
198655.6
742142.7
Blue62
234512.5
199412.1
944519.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1483705010020025016762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+95Teleop
+105Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave6
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +68
18Coral scored#8
66Coral points30
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
18Processor points6
24Net points4
42Algae points10
108Total teleop40
Reef
12L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
0Foul points0
167Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.62.5
53.556.0
Auto13.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
red by 36.2
9445
#22
19.30.6
18.619.2
Auto2.2
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Second
42.72.2
41.143.3
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
red by 30.2
2345
#35
12.50.6
11.912.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.8
End-0.0
Third
935
#19
31.22.5
28.931.3
Auto4.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
red by 19.0
1994
#26
12.10.6
11.512.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned