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Red157
173057.3
198655.6
Blue48
684313.8
176918.7
944519.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14644010020015748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+101Teleop
+111Endgame
+109Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave6
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +74
23Coral scored#4
84Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
98Total teleop24
Reef
10L4#2
9L3#1
7L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
32Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +109
0Foul points2
157Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.7
57.858.5
Auto15.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
red by 38.0
9445
#22
19.30.1
19.219.1
Auto2.2
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Second
55.60.7
56.056.7
Auto13.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
red by 36.8
1769
#17
18.70.1
18.618.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Third
9.60.7
10.010.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 4.2
6843
#12
13.80.1
13.613.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4