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Red155
184741.2
931622.2
110851.8
Blue112
955127.5
245727.9
181033.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1349550150200155112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+35Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
19Coral scored#15
67Coral points55
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#8
24Processor points12
32Net points32
56Algae points44
123Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#4
7L3#6
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points0
155Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.80.6
52.653.1
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End6.3
red by 18.5
1810
#13
33.30.4
33.233.6
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.6
Second
41.20.6
42.042.6
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End3.6
red by 13.4
2457
#11
27.90.4
27.728.1
Auto5.1
Teleop21.9
End0.8
Third
9316
#29
22.20.6
22.923.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End1.2
blue by 5.4
9551
#23
27.50.4
27.427.8
Auto4.6
Teleop22.5
End0.5