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Red78
501325.7
182537.1
742142.7
Blue69
93531.2
75726.7
176430.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11895501502007869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
54Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +9
2Foul points2
78Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.7
43.342.6
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
red by 11.5
935
#19
31.20.5
31.330.8
Auto4.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Second
37.10.7
37.737.0
Auto10.0
Teleop25.6
End1.6
red by 6.8
1764
#20
30.30.5
30.430.0
Auto6.6
Teleop23.0
End0.7
Third
5013
#16
25.70.7
26.325.6
Auto5.4
Teleop18.6
End1.7
blue by 1.0
757
#9
26.70.5
26.926.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6