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Red78
955127.5
245727.9
181033.3
Blue87
93531.2
75726.7
176430.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98997080901101201301407887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+1
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#9
45Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
63Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
78Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#13
33.30.3
33.633.3
Auto5.7
Teleop25.0
End2.6
red by 2.2
935
#19
31.20.0
30.830.8
Auto4.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Second
2457
#11
27.90.3
28.127.9
Auto5.1
Teleop21.9
End0.8
blue by 2.4
1764
#20
30.30.0
30.030.0
Auto6.6
Teleop23.0
End0.7
Third
9551
#23
27.50.3
27.827.5
Auto4.6
Teleop22.5
End0.5
red by 0.8
757
#9
26.70.0
26.426.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6