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Red168
173057.3
198655.6
Blue78
526831.8
172329.7
241025.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144895010020016878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+56Teleop
+78Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave0
8Coral scored#3
42Coral points16
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
79Total teleop58
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#18
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +90
12Foul points0
168Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.7
58.559.2
Auto15.9
Teleop33.0
End8.4
red by 25.5
31.80.2
31.931.6
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End4.1
Second
55.60.7
56.757.4
Auto13.7
Teleop33.8
End8.0
red by 25.8
1723
#10
29.70.2
29.729.5
Auto2.2
Teleop23.4
End4.2
Third
9.60.7
10.711.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 16.0
2410
#30
25.60.2
25.625.4
Auto5.4
Teleop18.2
End2.0