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Red133
184741.2
931622.2
110851.8
Blue96
501325.7
182537.1
742142.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131112608010012014016018020013396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+33Teleop
+39Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
21Coral scored#12
77Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
91Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#4
9L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#20
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points2
133Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.80.0
53.153.2
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End6.3
red by 9.1
42.70.4
42.642.2
Auto11.3
Teleop26.4
End5.1
Second
41.20.0
42.642.6
Auto7.5
Teleop30.1
End3.6
red by 4.1
37.10.4
37.036.6
Auto10.0
Teleop25.6
End1.6
Third
9316
#29
22.20.0
23.523.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End1.2
blue by 3.5
5013
#16
25.70.4
25.625.2
Auto5.4
Teleop18.6
End1.7