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Red155
745791.5
44726.6
Blue109
146634.3
549232.7
55423.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14786050100200250300155109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points24
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +32
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#4
12Processor points6
32Net points16
44Algae points22
95Total teleop63
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#5
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
155Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.50.7
90.891.5
Auto25.5
Teleop55.8
End10.2
red by 57.2
34.30.4
33.934.3
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Second
447
#5
26.60.7
26.026.6
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
blue by 6.1
5492
#10
32.70.4
32.232.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.3
End7.9
Third
9.40.7
8.89.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 14.1
554
#15
23.60.4
23.123.6
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5