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Red143
745791.5
44726.6
Blue132
146634.3
549232.7
55423.6
79%Model gave it21%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14783050100200250300143132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points30
44Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +2
18Coral scored#17
65Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
83Total teleop85
Reef
12L4#5
7L3#8
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
143Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.50.4
90.490.8
Auto25.5
Teleop55.8
End10.2
red by 57.2
34.31.0
32.933.9
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Second
447
#5
26.60.4
25.626.0
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
blue by 6.1
5492
#10
32.71.0
31.232.2
Auto4.4
Teleop20.3
End7.9
Third
9.40.4
8.48.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 14.1
554
#15
23.61.0
22.123.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5