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Red114
492641.0
278358.1
95549.2
Blue160
146634.3
549232.7
55423.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12786050100150200114160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+28
Fouls+46
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +32
9Coral scored#15
33Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
51Total teleop83
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#7
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points18
114Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.0
58.158.1
Auto17.8
Teleop30.8
End9.4
red by 23.7
34.31.2
31.732.9
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Second
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End7.1
red by 8.3
5492
#10
32.71.2
30.031.2
Auto4.4
Teleop20.3
End7.9
Third
9554
#16
9.20.0
9.29.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.5
blue by 14.4
554
#15
23.61.2
20.922.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5