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Red152
146634.3
549232.7
55423.6
Blue88
384318.7
320130.2
172031.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828420406010012014015288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+58Teleop
+58Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
16Coral scored#7
56Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
80Total teleop50
Reef
9L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +64
6Foul points0
152Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.31.5
30.231.7
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
red by 3.0
1720
#11
31.30.2
31.231.3
Auto6.0
Teleop19.2
End6.1
Second
5492
#10
32.71.5
28.530.0
Auto4.4
Teleop20.3
End7.9
red by 2.5
30.20.2
30.030.2
Auto6.3
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Third
554
#15
23.61.5
19.420.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5
red by 4.9
3843
#19
18.70.2
18.518.7
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.3