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Red139
745791.5
44726.6
Blue134
492641.0
278358.1
95549.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145115050100200250139134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
Endgame+1
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points34
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +12
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
83Total teleop71
Reef
9L4#9
8L3#7
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points0
139Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.50.0
90.490.4
Auto25.5
Teleop55.8
End10.2
red by 33.4
58.10.4
57.758.1
Auto17.8
Teleop30.8
End9.4
Second
447
#5
26.60.0
25.525.6
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
blue by 14.4
41.00.4
40.641.0
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Third
9.40.0
8.48.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End1.0
red by 0.2
9554
#16
9.20.4
8.89.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.5