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Red115
174738.2
602335.3
75164.5
Blue126
146634.3
549232.7
55423.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868360708090100110120115126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+11Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +21
22Coral scored#15
80Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
98Total teleop77
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
115Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.6
37.638.2
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End7.6
red by 3.8
34.31.1
29.130.2
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Second
6023
#13
35.30.6
34.735.3
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.4
red by 2.6
5492
#10
32.71.1
27.428.5
Auto4.4
Teleop20.3
End7.9
Third
7516
#18
4.50.6
4.04.5
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End0.1
blue by 19.0
554
#15
23.61.1
18.319.4
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5