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Red51
99862.1
44726.6
384318.7
Blue33
548414.8
75164.5
492641.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76782040601001205133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
4Coral scored#4
15Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
19Total teleop13
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
51Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#5
26.60.0
31.031.0
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
blue by 14.4
41.02.7
46.844.1
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Second
3843
#19
18.70.0
18.018.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.3
red by 3.9
14.82.7
20.918.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End0.6
Third
9986
#20
2.10.0
1.71.7
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.7
End2.8
blue by 2.5
7516
#18
4.52.7
5.42.7
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed