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Red175
745791.5
549232.7
174738.2
Blue107
602335.3
998513.8
320130.2
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19486050100150250300175107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+54Teleop
+74Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave3
8Coral scored#3
40Coral points13
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +30
22Coral scored#19
79Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
111Total teleop81
Reef
13L4#9
8L3#7
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#25
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points6
175Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.51.0
92.193.1
Auto25.5
Teleop55.8
End10.2
red by 56.2
6023
#13
35.30.6
39.640.2
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.4
Second
38.21.0
35.336.3
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End7.6
red by 8.0
30.20.6
39.440.0
Auto6.3
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Third
5492
#10
32.71.0
32.633.6
Auto4.4
Teleop20.3
End7.9
red by 18.9
9985
#14
13.81.0
12.713.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed