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Red42
549232.7
99862.1
95549.2
Blue186
745791.5
548414.8
172031.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56168010015020025042186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+37
Teleop+114
Endgame+126
Fouls+144
AutonomousBlue +37
0Leave6
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points31
0Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +77
5Coral scored#23
18Coral points83
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
28Total teleop105
Reef
2L4#13
1L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#6
7Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +144
0Foul points18
42Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#10
32.70.6
33.633.0
Auto4.4
Teleop20.3
End7.9
blue by 58.8
91.51.6
93.194.7
Auto25.5
Teleop55.8
End10.2
Second
9554
#16
9.20.6
12.311.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.5
blue by 22.2
1720
#11
31.31.6
29.731.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.2
End6.1
Third
9986
#20
2.11.0
1.70.8
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.7
End2.8
blue by 12.8
14.81.6
18.219.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned