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Red89
949120.7
278358.1
384318.7
Blue41
998513.8
44726.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1205301001502008941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +45
12Coral scored#5
44Coral points19
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
68Total teleop23
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
89Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.7
57.456.7
Auto17.8
Teleop30.8
End9.4
red by 31.4
447
#5
26.61.1
31.029.9
Auto6.5
Teleop16.2
End3.9
Second
20.70.7
23.923.2
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End-0.6
red by 6.9
9985
#14
13.81.8
13.711.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Third
3843
#19
18.70.7
18.017.3
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.3
red by 9.2
9.41.1
12.411.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed