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Red91
320130.2
745791.5
649814.3
Blue83
949120.7
998513.8
492641.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180710501001502002509183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +11
12Coral scored#7
44Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
54Total teleop43
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
91Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.54.0
94.790.7
Auto25.5
Teleop55.8
End10.2
red by 50.5
41.00.3
44.144.4
Auto13.4
Teleop20.5
End7.1
Second
30.24.0
38.634.6
Auto6.3
Teleop18.9
End5.0
red by 9.5
20.70.3
23.223.4
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End-0.6
Third
6498
#17
14.34.0
17.913.9
Auto1.6
Teleop11.6
End1.1
red by 0.5
9985
#14
13.80.4
11.912.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsEarned