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Red83
384318.7
174738.2
649814.3
Blue96
95549.2
320130.2
146634.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728202003004008396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+15
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +9
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
67Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#6
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points6
83Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.3
35.736.0
Auto4.7
Teleop25.8
End7.6
red by 3.8
34.30.6
30.531.0
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End2.4
Second
3843
#19
18.70.3
17.317.7
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End3.3
blue by 11.5
30.20.6
34.635.2
Auto6.3
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Third
6498
#17
14.30.3
13.914.2
Auto1.6
Teleop11.6
End1.1
red by 5.1
9554
#16
9.20.6
10.611.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned