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Red116
998513.8
745791.5
75164.5
Blue52
55423.6
949120.7
99862.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12858010015020011652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+58Teleop
+60Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points13
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#7
32Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
7Net algae#2
6Processor points0
28Net points8
34Algae points8
66Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
6Foul points2
116Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.50.2
90.790.9
Auto25.5
Teleop55.8
End10.2
red by 67.9
554
#15
23.60.4
20.320.7
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End4.5
Second
9985
#14
13.80.4
12.312.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.3
End1.4
blue by 6.9
20.70.4
23.423.8
Auto5.1
Teleop16.1
End-0.6
Third
7516
#18
4.50.2
3.53.8
Auto3.5
Teleop0.9
End0.1
red by 2.5
9986
#20
2.10.7
0.31.0
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed